
Mistakes to
Avoid
Trying to Time
the Market!
Market timing is one
of the all-time great myths of investing. There is no strategy that consistently
tells you when to be in the market and when to be out of it, and anyone who says
otherwise usually has a market-timing service to sell you. Not a single one of
thousands of funds has tracked over the past two decades has been able to
consistently time the market. Sure some funds have made the occasional great
call, but non have posted any kind of superior track record by jumping
frequently in and out of the market based on the signals generated by a
quantitative model.
That's pretty
powerful evidence that market timing is not a viable strategy because running a
mutual fund is a very profitable business-if someone had figured out a way to
reliably time the market, you can bet your life they'd have started a fund to do
so.
<- previous tip
next tip ->